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Prepare, Don't Panic – 3 Things to Do Right Now to Prepare for a Recession

25 March 20256 min readBy Jarrod Kirkland
Prepare, Don't Panic – 3 Things to Do Right Now to Prepare for a Recession

Key Takeaways

  • 1Unlike the 2008 financial crisis, a post-COVID recession is slower-moving, giving time to prepare.
  • 2Create a budget and cut luxury expenses to build financial resilience.
  • 3Restructure your mortgage to handle potential income disruption.
  • 4Do not move KiwiSaver to a conservative fund unless buying a home within 6 months-this locks in losses.

The key problem in a recession is the lack of business confidence. Here are 3 things you can do to prepare-and 1 thing you definitely shouldn't.

What Does a Recession Mean for Home Owners?

The key problem in a recession is the lack of business confidence. Business owners lose clients and either downscale or freeze hiring. If you are a business owner, you need funds to ride through the storm. If you are an employee, you need funds to allow for redundancies or any other loss of income.

What's Different About This Recession?

If you cast your mind back to the dark days of 2008, the sudden and unforeseen collapse of Lehman Brothers triggered a recession that spread across the world. This time, however, the trigger seems to be the after-effects of nurturing the economy through Covid. The difference is that this is a much slower-moving event and we have time to prepare.

3 Things You Can Do to Prepare for a Recession

1: Minimise Your Luxury Spending

When things are going well, it is easy to spend money on luxury items. What are you spending money on that you don't need? Today is the day to sit down and complete a budget.

2: Restructure Your Mortgage

With uncertainty in the economy, you want to make sure your mortgage is setup if the worst should happen. Too many people had bad Credit Reports in 2008-2010 from not being able to pay their debts.

3: Think About Your Non-Mortgage Debts

It's definitely time to review your Secondary Debts:

  • Consolidating your debts so that your regular payments are smaller
  • Using some spare cash to pay off any high-interest secondary debts
  • If you have a small Student Loan remaining, consider paying it off

1 Thing You Definitely Shouldn't Do in a Recession

Unless you are preparing to buy a home in the next 6 months, it would be extremely unwise to move your KiwiSaver into a more conservative fund. The markets have already come back from their highs so any transfer to a Cash Fund now locks in those losses.

On average, markets jump by 28% the year after a major crash. This is not a time to exit.

Do It Today. Prepare, Don't Panic

  • Complete a budget and remove luxury expenses
  • Talk to someone about your mortgage
  • Look at your secondary debt and get them under control

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Frequently Asked Questions

How does a recession affect homeowners?

In a recession, business confidence drops, leading to downsizing and hiring freezes. Both business owners and employees need funds to ride through potential income loss or redundancy.

Should I move my KiwiSaver to a conservative fund during a recession?

No, unless you are buying a home in the next 6 months. Moving to a conservative fund now would lock in losses, and markets typically jump by 28% on average the year after a major crash.

What debts should I focus on during a recession?

Consider consolidating debts to reduce regular payments, pay off high-interest secondary debts with spare cash, and if you have a small Student Loan remaining, consider paying it off.

Disclaimer

The information on this website is for general guidance only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and seek personalised advice from a qualified financial adviser or mortgage adviser before making financial decisions. All investments carry risk and past performance is not indicative of future results.

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